CD Castellon 2-2 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.18
Over 2.5
39%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.21
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
18%
2.93
6+ Goals
8%
8.71
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.21 — our 31% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.15
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
15%
4.41
X/2
13%
9.86
X/X
14%
5.9
2/1
9%
21.05
2/2
8%
7.33
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-13.4pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.8pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
42%
+18.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
58%
-18.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.3pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 24%
-20% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.65/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.43
-34% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.4 Crosses 16.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Albacete
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 Passes 250
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Albacete Albacete 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
06.08.2023 Albacete Albacete 6-2 HT 1-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon HAZ
17.04.2022 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS3
28.08.2021 Albacete Albacete 3-1 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
31.03.2021 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
12.12.2020 CD Castellon CD Castellon 3-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
2-2
AWAY Albacete
3.65 xG 1.33
74% Ball Possession 26%
29 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
481 Passes 120
84% Pass Accuracy 58%
56 Box Touches 12
42 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon and Albacete couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was CD Castellon at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Castellon had 74% of the ball to Albacete's 26%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 3.65 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CD Castellon and 1.50 for Albacete.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Albacete?

CD Castellon 2-2 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 42%, draw 30%, Albacete 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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