Pineto 1-0 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No OUR CALL
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
21.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 35% vs market 31.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 50%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.20/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.37
+12% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
224 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pescara
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2024 Pescara Pescara 0-1 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
11.08.2024 Pescara Pescara 0-2 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTCK
03.02.2024 Pescara Pescara 2-0 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
09.11.2023 Pescara Pescara 1-0 HT 1-0 Pineto Pineto İTCK
11.10.2023 Pineto Pineto 1-0 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
04.08.2019 Pineto Pineto 1-2 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
1-0
AWAY Pescara
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto edged past Pescara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pescara at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Pineto had 48% of the ball to Pescara's 52%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pineto and 0.83 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Pescara?

Pineto 1-0 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pineto 32%, draw 27%, Pescara 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pescara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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