U. Catolica 2-3 San Luis De Quillota — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
69%
-15.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.2pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY San Luis De Quillota EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.23/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/1.19
+24% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -92% / +48%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Luis De Quillota
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 0.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
261 Passes 217
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2025 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota 2-1 HT 2-0 U. Catolica ŞİLİK
23.09.2018 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 0-1 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİL
30.04.2018 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota 1-1 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
05.11.2017 U. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-1 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİL
06.02.2017 U. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİL
29.11.2015 U. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
2-3
AWAY San Luis De Quillota
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 1
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs San Luis De Quillota
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Luis De Quillota nicked a narrow win over U. Catolica 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was U. Catolica at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 50% of the ball to San Luis De Quillota's 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for U. Catolica and 1.00 for San Luis De Quillota.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs San Luis De Quillota?

U. Catolica 2-3 San Luis De Quillota in the Chile - Cup on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs San Luis De Quillota?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 53%, draw 24%, San Luis De Quillota 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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