Braunschweig 3-2 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 4 Apr 2025

Braunschweig
3-2 HT 1-1
Paderborn
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Braunschweig vs Paderborn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 27% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.65
1/2
10%
22.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
11%
8.98
X/2
14%
4.56
X/X
11%
5.46
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.33
2/X
11%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.1pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-8.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Braunschweig v Paderborn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.24/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.07
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +52%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
222 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
19.3 Crosses 25.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Braunschweig vs Paderborn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Paderborn
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.64
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
248 Passes 423
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 0-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
15.03.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
08.10.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-3 HT 1-2 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
28.04.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 5-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
22.10.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
16.04.2021 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2

Braunschweig 3-2 Paderborn — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
3-2
AWAY Paderborn
1.34 xG 3.47
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
281 Passes 423
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 44
14 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braunschweig nicked a narrow win over Paderborn 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Paderborn at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Braunschweig had 41% of the ball to Paderborn's 59%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.34 to 3.47 — on chances, Paderborn could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Braunschweig and 1.50 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Paderborn?

Braunschweig 3-2 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 25%, draw 30%, Paderborn 45%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn) ✗ Under 2.5
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