USM Khenchela 0-1 JS Kabylie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.99
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY JS Kabylie EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
0.77/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.04
-22% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
1W-3D-1L
AWAY JS Kabylie
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
24.02.2024 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
29.09.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-1 HT 0-0 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie CZYR
09.05.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-0 HT 0-0 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie CZYR
25.10.2022 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
0-1
AWAY JS Kabylie
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs JS Kabylie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JS Kabylie squeezed past USM Khenchela 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; JS Kabylie found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 42% of the ball to JS Kabylie's 58%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for USM Khenchela and 0.40 for JS Kabylie.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs JS Kabylie?

USM Khenchela 0-1 JS Kabylie in the Algeria - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs JS Kabylie?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 38%, draw 28%, JS Kabylie 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (USM Khenchela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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