Avustralya (K) 1-0 Güney Kore (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Apr 2025

Avustralya (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Güney Kore (K)
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Avustralya (K) vs Güney Kore (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
17%
+12.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avustralya (K) v Güney Kore (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.05/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.80
-24% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -57%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
340 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 82%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
13.0 Crosses 22.5
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Avustralya (K) vs Güney Kore (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avustralya (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Güney Kore (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.40 xG 0.66
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
404 Passes 186
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.03.2019 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 4-1 HT 3-1 Güney Kore (K) Güney Kore (K) FFA
07.04.2018 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Güney Kore (K) Güney Kore (K) Asya Kupası Kadınlar

Avustralya (K) 1-0 Güney Kore (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avustralya (K)
1-0
AWAY Güney Kore (K)
0.83 xG 0.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 388
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avustralya (K) vs Güney Kore (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya (K) nicked a narrow win over Güney Kore (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avustralya (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avustralya (K) had 45% of the ball to Güney Kore (K)'s 55%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.83 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Avustralya (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Avustralya (K) and 0.50 for Güney Kore (K).

What was the final score of Avustralya (K) vs Güney Kore (K)?

Avustralya (K) 1-0 Güney Kore (K) in the Friendlies on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya (K) vs Güney Kore (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Avustralya (K) 48%, draw 22%, Güney Kore (K) 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avustralya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
4 Apr 2025
21:00 Fas (K) vs Tunus (K) Analysis →