Fas (K) 3-1 Tunus (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Apr 2025

Fas (K)
3-1
Tunus (K)
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Fas (K) vs Tunus (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
7.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
33%
X/2
5%
X/X
3%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
78%
-11.8pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.7pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fas (K) v Tunus (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Tunus (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
494 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Fas (K) 3-1 Tunus (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas (K)
3-1
AWAY Tunus (K)
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fas (K) vs Tunus (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas (K) beat Tunus (K) 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fas (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Fas (K) had 68% of the ball to Tunus (K)'s 32%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Fas (K) vs Tunus (K)?

Fas (K) 3-1 Tunus (K) in the Friendlies on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas (K) vs Tunus (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fas (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Fas (K) 66%, draw 19%, Tunus (K) 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fas (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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