Burnley U21 1-2 Brentford U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 4 Apr 2025

Burnley U21
1-2 HT 1-0
Brentford U21
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Professional Development League – 2024/2025

Burnley U21 vs Brentford U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
2.0
Draw
15%
4.08
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.32
No
48%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
46%
+9.8pp
15%
Draw
21%
-6.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
72%
-19.6pp
48%
BTTS No
28%
+19.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burnley U21 v Brentford U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.75/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/8.00
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -77%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Burnley U21 vs Brentford U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Brentford U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 3-3 HT 2-2 Brentford U21 Brentford U21 İNPLK
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs Brentford U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford U21 nicked a narrow win over Burnley U21 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Burnley U21 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs Brentford U21?

Burnley U21 1-2 Brentford U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs Brentford U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 56%, draw 15%, Brentford U21 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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