İstanbulspor 5-0 Yeni Malatyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.11
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
10%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No
64%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
86%
-10.3pp
15%
Draw
9%
+6.2pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor EU Bookmakers 8%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.84/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/2.88
-23% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -38%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
453 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 76%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.9
20.5 Crosses 5.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
5-0
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor
3.00 xG 0.08
74% Ball Possession 26%
24 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
575 Passes 145
92% Pass Accuracy 66%
41 Box Touches 1
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor cruised past Yeni Malatyaspor 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had İstanbulspor as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 74% of the ball to Yeni Malatyaspor's 26%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 3.00 to 0.08.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

İstanbulspor 5-0 Yeni Malatyaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 75%, draw 15%, Yeni Malatyaspor 10%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İstanbulspor), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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