Adana Demirspor 0-2 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
15%
+13.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.7pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-13.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.7pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 70%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.80/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.75
-14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
235 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 83%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.5 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
321 Passes 406
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
13.04.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
26.11.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
23.04.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 5-3 HT 4-3 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
30.10.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
15.01.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
0-2
AWAY Kayserispor
0.53 xG 1.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
347 Passes 435
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor got the better of Adana Demirspor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kayserispor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 46% of the ball to Kayserispor's 54%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.53 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.17 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Kayserispor?

Adana Demirspor 0-2 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kayserispor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 28%, draw 20%, Kayserispor 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kayserispor), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kayserispor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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