04/04/2025
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Inhulets vs Obolon Kyiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
29%
Draw
29%
35%
Away Win
41%
65%
Under 2.5
61%
35%
Over 2.5
39%
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
59%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Inhulets v Obolon Kyiv — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Inhulets
EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Obolon Kyiv
EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% /
+14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-36%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
292 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
335 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.4
Yellow Cards
–
Inhulets vs Obolon Kyiv Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Inhulets
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Obolon Kyiv
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
6
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
3
0
Corners
6
5
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
29.09.2024
Obolon Kyiv
2-1
HT 0-0
Inhulets
UKR
2-1
HT 0-0
Inhulets
UKR
POST-MATCH
Inhulets vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Obolon Kyiv squeezed past Inhulets 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Obolon Kyiv found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Inhulets vs Obolon Kyiv?
Inhulets 0-1 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Inhulets vs Obolon Kyiv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Inhulets win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Inhulets 36%, draw 29%, Obolon Kyiv 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Inhulets) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Inhulets)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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