Ilkeston Town 1-1 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
52%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Ilkeston Town win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town The Market 27%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.90/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.17
+9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Warrington Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2025 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilkeston Town
1-1
AWAY Warrington Town
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town and Warrington Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ilkeston Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ilkeston Town had 63% of the ball to Warrington Town's 37%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Warrington Town?

Ilkeston Town 1-1 Warrington Town in the England - Non League Premier on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 52%, draw 27%, Warrington Town 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilkeston Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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