Arminia Bielefeld vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Arminia Bielefeld v Darmstadt 98 — Team-Based Signals
Arminia Bielefeld vs Darmstadt 98 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Darmstadt 98 — Actual Match Statistics
Arminia Bielefeld found just enough to beat Darmstadt 98 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Arminia Bielefeld had 53% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 47%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 2.00 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arminia Bielefeld's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 0.83 for Darmstadt 98.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Darmstadt 98 Result & Final Score
Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 1 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 41%, draw 26%, Darmstadt 98 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.