Mokpo City 1-3 Dangjin Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+4.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dangjin Citizen EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.43/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.46
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mokpo City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dangjin Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
04.09.2022 Dangjin Citizen 3-1 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
07.05.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-0 HT 0-0 Dangjin Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Mokpo City vs Dangjin Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dangjin Citizen beat Mokpo City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mokpo City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mokpo City and 1.50 for Dangjin Citizen.

What was the final score of Mokpo City vs Dangjin Citizen?

Mokpo City 1-3 Dangjin Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mokpo City vs Dangjin Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mokpo City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mokpo City 51%, draw 22%, Dangjin Citizen 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mokpo City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mokpo City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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