Sporting CP II 1-2 Penafiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 4 Apr 2026

Sporting CP II
1-2 HT 1-0
Penafiel
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Sporting CP II vs Penafiel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.71
Over
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.84
No
50%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
31%
2.71
2-3
41%
1.7
4-5
19%
3.83
6+
9%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.71 — our 31% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Sporting CP II v Penafiel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Penafiel The Market 30%
+14% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
2.18/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.37
+84% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.1 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Sporting CP II vs Penafiel Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Penafiel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.55 xG 0.95
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
404 Passes 193
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.11.2025 Penafiel Penafiel 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
21.10.2017 Penafiel Penafiel 4-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
08.11.2015 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 4-2 HT 2-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
12.01.2014 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-1 HT 0-1 Penafiel Penafiel POR2

Sporting CP II 1-2 Penafiel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
1-2
AWAY Penafiel
1.00 xG 1.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
398 Passes 278
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
7 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Sporting CP II vs Penafiel
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Penafiel nicked a narrow win over Sporting CP II 2-1 on their travels. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

A gentle 44% lean on Sporting CP II didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Small consolation: at 1.96 (roughly 51%) the price was further off than we were.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 50%.

On the day, possession split 56% to 44% in Sporting CP II's favour, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.00 to 1.61.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Penafiel led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Sporting CP II against 2.00 for Penafiel.

Sporting CP II vs Penafiel Result & Final Score

Sporting CP II 1-2 Penafiel in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sporting CP II vs Penafiel Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 44%, draw 24%, Penafiel 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
4 Apr 2026
13:00 Farense vs CD Feirense Analysis →
16:00 Paços De Ferreira vs Maritimo Analysis →
20:00 Academico Viseu vs Felgueiras 1932 Analysis →