Henan Jianye 1-2 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 4 May 2024

Henan Jianye
1-2 HT 1-0
Tianjin Teda
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.64
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
12%
4.71
X/2
8%
7.7
X/X
14%
4.92
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
14%
5.31
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Henan Jianye v Tianjin Teda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.19/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.39
-15% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.0 Crosses 13.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.63 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
293 Passes 291
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
14.05.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
10.12.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
14.09.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
28.12.2021 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
15.12.2021 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN

Henan Jianye 1-2 Tianjin Teda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
1-2
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.75 xG 1.34
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
305 Passes 241
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda edged past Henan Jianye 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Henan Jianye at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 55% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 45%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.75 to 1.34 — the balance of chances actually favoured Henan Jianye.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Henan Jianye and 0.67 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda?

Henan Jianye 1-2 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 45%, draw 26%, Tianjin Teda 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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