Dukla Prag 5-1 Graffin Vlasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.15
Over 2.5
44%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-15.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+12.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
43%
+13.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
57%
-13.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.64/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.59
-11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
439 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 3-2 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
15.04.2023 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 3-4 HT 0-3 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
11.09.2022 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
11.05.2022 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-1 HT 1-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
21.11.2021 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 2-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
24.04.2021 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-1 HT 1-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
5-1
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs Graffin Vlasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Prag cruised past Graffin Vlasim 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dukla Prag as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 37% of the ball to Graffin Vlasim's 63%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dukla Prag and 1.67 for Graffin Vlasim.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs Graffin Vlasim?

Dukla Prag 5-1 Graffin Vlasim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs Graffin Vlasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dukla Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 47%, draw 24%, Graffin Vlasim 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dukla Prag) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dukla Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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