Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-1 Aston Villa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.2pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+3.0pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.30/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.14
-43% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.0 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0-1
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
0.48 xG 1.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
357 Passes 407
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Aston Villa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa (K) edged past Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 33% / 39% — and on the day Aston Villa (K) made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) had 47% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 53%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.48 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-1 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 28%, draw 33%, Aston Villa (K) 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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4 May 2024
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