04/05/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Reynir Sandgerdi vs AEgir Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
29%
Draw
20%
37%
Away Win
48%
46%
Under 2.5
24%
54%
Over 2.5
76%
56%
BTTS Yes
72%
44%
BTTS No
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Reynir Sandgerdi v AEgir — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Reynir Sandgerdi
EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
AEgir
EU Bookmakers 52%
-14% /
-14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-25%
/
+13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
314 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
223 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Reynir Sandgerdi vs AEgir Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Reynir Sandgerdi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
AEgir
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
27.07.2022
AEgir
1-1
HT 0-0
Reynir Sandgerdi
İZL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Reynir Sandgerdi
İZL2
POST-MATCH
Reynir Sandgerdi vs AEgir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
AEgir swept aside Reynir Sandgerdi 3-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; AEgir found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Reynir Sandgerdi vs AEgir?
Reynir Sandgerdi 0-3 AEgir in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Reynir Sandgerdi vs AEgir?
Before kick-off our model rated an AEgir win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Reynir Sandgerdi 34%, draw 29%, AEgir 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEgir), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (AEgir)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İZL2
More Iceland - 2nd Division
4 May 2024