A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 Villarreal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 4 May 2024

A. Bilbao (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Villarreal (K)
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar – 2024

A. Bilbao (K) vs Villarreal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.53
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
33%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
61%
-27.9pp
33%
Draw
22%
+11.1pp
33%
Away Win
17%
+16.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

A. Bilbao (K) v Villarreal (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.64/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.30
+49% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.6 Crosses 14.7
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 Villarreal (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
1-0
AWAY Villarreal (K)
1.48 xG 0.65
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 233
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH A. Bilbao (K) vs Villarreal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

A. Bilbao (K) squeezed past Villarreal (K) 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day A. Bilbao (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, A. Bilbao (K) had 58% of the ball to Villarreal (K)'s 42%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.48 to 0.65.

What was the final score of A. Bilbao (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 Villarreal (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for A. Bilbao (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a A. Bilbao (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split A. Bilbao (K) 33%, draw 33%, Villarreal (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar More İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
4 May 2024
13:00 Atletico Madrid (K) vs Tenerife (K) Analysis →