Juventud Unida Universitario 0-2 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.86
Over 2.5
36%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.69
6+ Goals
6%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 37% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+9.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-14.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
50%
+13.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
50%
-13.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.8pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud Unida Universitario EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud Unida Universitario
0-2
AWAY Independiente
0.15 xG 3.40
23% Ball Possession 77%
3 Total Shots 24
0 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 14
75 Passes 468
43% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 38
6 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventud Unida Universitario vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente saw off Juventud Unida Universitario 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Independiente as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Juventud Unida Universitario had 23% of the ball to Independiente's 77%, shots finished 3-24, expected goals 0.15 to 3.40.

What was the final score of Juventud Unida Universitario vs Independiente?

Juventud Unida Universitario 0-2 Independiente in the Argentina - Cup on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud Unida Universitario vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Juventud Unida Universitario 24%, draw 27%, Independiente 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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