SV Horn 1-0 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
13%
4.54
X/2
12%
7.9
X/X
14%
5.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.7
2/2
14%
5.51
2/X
4%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Horn EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.71/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.47
+23% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
11.8 Crosses 12.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Horn
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bregenz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Corners 6
21.10.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 3-1 HT 2-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
POST-MATCH SV Horn vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Horn nicked a narrow win over Bregenz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SV Horn as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of SV Horn vs Bregenz?

SV Horn 1-0 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Horn vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Horn win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SV Horn 45%, draw 25%, Bregenz 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Horn), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Horn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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