NE MetroStars 2-0 South Adelaide Panthers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL South, 4 May 2024

NE MetroStars
2-0 HT 1-0
South Adelaide Panthers
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - NPL South – 2024

NE MetroStars vs South Adelaide Panthers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
22%
7.78
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-17.6pp
22%
Draw
10%
+11.8pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NE MetroStars v South Adelaide Panthers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY South Adelaide Panthers EU Bookmakers 11%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
4.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/5.00
+50% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -51%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
456 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

NE MetroStars vs South Adelaide Panthers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
4W-0D-2L
AWAY South Adelaide Panthers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.06.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 5-1 HT 1-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVSA
31.03.2023 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 1-2 HT 1-2 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
13.08.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-1 HT 1-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
21.05.2022 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 1-0 HT 1-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
17.08.2021 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 0-1 HT 0-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
01.05.2021 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 1-2 HT 1-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs South Adelaide Panthers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars got the better of South Adelaide Panthers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NE MetroStars as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for NE MetroStars and 1.00 for South Adelaide Panthers.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs South Adelaide Panthers?

NE MetroStars 2-0 South Adelaide Panthers in the Australia - NPL South on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs South Adelaide Panthers?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 64%, draw 22%, South Adelaide Panthers 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NE MetroStars) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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