Cavalry 3-1 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 4 May 2024

Cavalry
3-1 HT 2-0
Vancouver FC
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Cavalry vs Vancouver FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cavalry v Vancouver FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.74/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.17
-8% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
19.9 Crosses 14.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Cavalry vs Vancouver FC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Vancouver FC
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.07 xG 0.97
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
516 Passes 259
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
23.07.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-5 HT 1-3 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
12.06.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 3-1 HT 3-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
08.05.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL

Cavalry 3-1 Vancouver FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
3-1
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.64 xG 0.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
293 Passes 305
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry saw off Vancouver FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cavalry had 48% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 52%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.64 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Cavalry and 1.00 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Vancouver FC?

Cavalry 3-1 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 52%, draw 23%, Vancouver FC 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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