USM Khenchela 2-1 Belouizdad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.38
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 48%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.45/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.65
+45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Belouizdad
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Belouizdad Belouizdad 2-3 HT 2-2 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
10.07.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 4-0 HT 2-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
11.12.2022 Belouizdad Belouizdad 2-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
2-1
AWAY Belouizdad
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs Belouizdad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela edged past Belouizdad 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; USM Khenchela found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 61% of the ball to Belouizdad's 39%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, USM Khenchela had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.33 for Belouizdad.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs Belouizdad?

USM Khenchela 2-1 Belouizdad in the Algeria - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs Belouizdad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belouizdad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 33%, draw 30%, Belouizdad 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Belouizdad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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