Naesby 2-1 Ishøj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 4 May 2024

Naesby
2-1 HT 1-0
Ishøj
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Naesby vs Ishøj Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naesby v Ishøj — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ishøj EU Bookmakers 46%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.73/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.19
+47% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Naesby vs Ishøj Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Ishøj
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Naesby Naesby 0-3 HT 0-1 Ishøj DAN3
12.08.2023 Ishøj 1-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
27.05.2023 Ishøj 3-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
12.05.2023 Naesby Naesby 1-1 HT 1-1 Ishøj DAN3
21.03.2023 Ishøj 1-1 HT 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
06.08.2022 Naesby Naesby 1-1 HT 0-1 Ishøj DAN3

Naesby 2-1 Ishøj — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
2-1
AWAY Ishøj
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Ishøj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby squeezed past Ishøj 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Naesby found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Naesby had 57% of the ball to Ishøj's 43%, shots finished 17-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ishøj led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Naesby and 1.67 for Ishøj.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Ishøj?

Naesby 2-1 Ishøj in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Ishøj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Naesby 36%, draw 28%, Ishøj 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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