Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.33
Over 2.5
34%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.5pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
72%
-5.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
28%
+5.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
15.12.2023 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 1-2 HT 0-0 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1-2
AWAY Fasil Ketema
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema edged past Hadiya Hosaena 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hadiya Hosaena at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 37% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 63%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hadiya Hosaena win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 41%, draw 33%, Fasil Ketema 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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