Chippa United 1-3 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 4 May 2024

Chippa United
1-3 HT 0-2
Orlando Pirates
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - Cup – 2023/2024

Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
19.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 33% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chippa United v Orlando Pirates — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippa United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 57%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.59/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.43
+11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
28.0 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippa United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.73 xG 1.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
257 Passes 373
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.08.2023 Chippa United Chippa United 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
08.04.2023 Chippa United Chippa United 0-2 HT 0-2 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
14.08.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-1 HT 0-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
27.04.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
18.09.2021 Chippa United Chippa United 1-3 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
06.03.2021 Chippa United Chippa United 0-3 HT 0-2 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL

Chippa United 1-3 Orlando Pirates — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippa United
1-3
AWAY Orlando Pirates
1.63 xG 1.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
195 Passes 271
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates beat Chippa United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chippa United had 45% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 55%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.63 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chippa United and 1.50 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates?

Chippa United 1-3 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Cup on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chippa United 24%, draw 26%, Orlando Pirates 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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