Busan Transportation 1-3 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
24%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.08/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.47
+0% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
230 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Paju Citizen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.07.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
26.03.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
13.08.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
17.04.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
13.11.2021 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-2 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
19.06.2021 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen beat Busan Transportation 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paju Citizen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Busan Transportation and 1.00 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Paju Citizen?

Busan Transportation 1-3 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 26%, draw 30%, Paju Citizen 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paju Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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