Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Anyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 33% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Anyang EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.04/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.03
+8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.5 Crosses 16.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Anyang
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.80 xG 0.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
198 Passes 282
59% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 4-3 HT 2-1 Anyang Anyang GKOR2
15.07.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-3 HT 1-1 Anyang Anyang GKOR2
01.04.2023 Anyang Anyang 3-0 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
17.09.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-0 HT 0-0 Anyang Anyang GKOR2
06.07.2022 Anyang Anyang 1-1 HT 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
03.05.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 1-0 Anyang Anyang GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-1
AWAY Anyang
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Anyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa and Anyang couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 48% of the ball to Anyang's 52%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.67 for Anyang.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Anyang?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Anyang in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Anyang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 38%, draw 26%, Anyang 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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