Al Wakrah 1-0 Al Rayyan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Cup, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
2.94
Draw
38%
3.64
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.5
2-3 Goals
30%
2.01
4-5 Goals
30%
2.66
6+ Goals
20%
6.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
30%
-10.2pp
38%
Draw
24%
+13.6pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.9pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wakrah
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Rayyan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.34 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
306 Passes 300
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
29.09.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
03.05.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
12.03.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
10.01.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
10.10.2021 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 4-3 HT 1-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wakrah
1-0
AWAY Al Rayyan
2.03 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 3
320 Passes 250
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wakrah vs Al Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wakrah edged past Al Rayyan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 20% / 38% / 42% — and on the day Al Wakrah made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Wakrah had 55% of the ball to Al Rayyan's 45%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.03 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wakrah had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Wakrah and 2.00 for Al Rayyan.

What was the final score of Al Wakrah vs Al Rayyan?

Al Wakrah 1-0 Al Rayyan in the Qatar - Cup on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wakrah vs Al Rayyan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Wakrah 20%, draw 38%, Al Rayyan 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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