Valmiera II vs Progress / AFA Olaine Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valmiera II v Progress / AFA Olaine — Team-Based Signals
Valmiera II vs Progress / AFA Olaine Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Progress / AFA Olaine
LET1
1-4
Valmiera II
LET1
Valmiera II edged past Progress / AFA Olaine 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valmiera II as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Valmiera II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Valmiera II and 1.00 for Progress / AFA Olaine.
What was the final score of Valmiera II vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
Valmiera II 3-2 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valmiera II vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valmiera II 56%, draw 24%, Progress / AFA Olaine 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.