FC Sheriff 2-1 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-12.0pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+11.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.19/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.19
-5% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Milsami
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
05.11.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
27.08.2023 Milsami Milsami 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
20.05.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-0 HT 3-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
15.04.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
09.11.2022 Milsami Milsami 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
2-1
AWAY Milsami
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff squeezed past Milsami 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 53% of the ball to Milsami's 47%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.67 for Milsami.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Milsami?

FC Sheriff 2-1 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 60%, draw 18%, Milsami 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
4 May 2024
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