Brann 3-0 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 4 May 2024

Brann
3-0 HT 1-0
Rosenborg
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Brann vs Rosenborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.37
2-3 Goals
35%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.95
6+ Goals
17%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.5
X/1
20%
3.77
X/2
6%
12.3
X/X
10%
6.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.2
2/2
11%
9.22
2/X
11%
17.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brann v Rosenborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.98/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.27
-18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
391 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
38.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
23.5 Crosses 14.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Brann vs Rosenborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rosenborg
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.70 xG 1.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
338 Passes 320
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 0-2 Brann Brann HAZ
29.05.2023 Brann Brann 3-1 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
03.05.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 0-2 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR
06.11.2021 Brann Brann 2-2 HT 2-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
20.05.2021 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-2 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
24.11.2020 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-3 HT 0-2 Brann Brann NOR

Brann 3-0 Rosenborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
3-0
AWAY Rosenborg
3.60 xG 0.75
65% Ball Possession 35%
25 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
511 Passes 246
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
46 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brann vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann cruised past Rosenborg 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brann as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Brann had 65% of the ball to Rosenborg's 35%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 3.60 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Brann and 1.33 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Brann vs Rosenborg?

Brann 3-0 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Brann 53%, draw 25%, Rosenborg 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brann), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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