Povazska Bystrica 1-1 Pohronie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Povazska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohronie EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.52/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.70
+43% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Povazska Bystrica
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Pohronie
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2023 Pohronie Pohronie 0-0 HT 0-0 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica SLVK2
22.10.2022 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 2-2 HT 0-0 Pohronie Pohronie SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Povazska Bystrica
1-1
AWAY Pohronie
36% Ball Possession 64%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Povazska Bystrica vs Pohronie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Povazska Bystrica and Pohronie shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Povazska Bystrica at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Povazska Bystrica had 36% of the ball to Pohronie's 64%, shots finished 18-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Povazska Bystrica and 1.00 for Pohronie.

What was the final score of Povazska Bystrica vs Pohronie?

Povazska Bystrica 1-1 Pohronie in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Povazska Bystrica vs Pohronie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Povazska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Povazska Bystrica 45%, draw 25%, Pohronie 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Povazska Bystrica), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Povazska Bystrica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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