Trencin 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 26% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trencin EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
2.02/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.51
+17% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 69%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
24.3 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trencin
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 1.55
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 Passes 207
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
04.11.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
05.08.2023 Trencin Trencin 2-0 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
06.05.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-2 HT 0-2 Trencin Trencin SLVK
08.04.2023 Trencin Trencin 3-3 HT 1-1 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
22.10.2022 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 2-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trencin
1-0
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
1.77 xG 0.46
69% Ball Possession 31%
27 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 9
514 Passes 164
85% Pass Accuracy 63%
30 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trencin vs Zemplin Michalovce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trencin nicked a narrow win over Zemplin Michalovce 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trencin as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Trencin had 69% of the ball to Zemplin Michalovce's 31%, shots finished 27-8, expected goals 1.77 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Trencin's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trencin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Trencin and 0.83 for Zemplin Michalovce.

What was the final score of Trencin vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Trencin 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce in the Slovakia Super League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trencin vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trencin win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Trencin 48%, draw 27%, Zemplin Michalovce 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trencin) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trencin) ✗ Over 2.5
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