Aluminij 1-1 NK Bravo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

Aluminij
1-1 HT 0-1
NK Bravo
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Aluminij vs NK Bravo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
50%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 30% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aluminij v NK Bravo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.74/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.44
-31% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
386 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Aluminij vs NK Bravo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
0W-2D-4L
AWAY NK Bravo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
10.11.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 1-1 HT 0-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
02.09.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
03.04.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 0-2 HT 0-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
12.12.2021 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-1 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
26.09.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN

Aluminij 1-1 NK Bravo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
1-1
AWAY NK Bravo
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij and NK Bravo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was NK Bravo at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Aluminij had 56% of the ball to NK Bravo's 44%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Bravo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Aluminij and 1.33 for NK Bravo.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs NK Bravo?

Aluminij 1-1 NK Bravo in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs NK Bravo?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Bravo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 27%, draw 23%, NK Bravo 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (NK Bravo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Bravo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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