Al Shabab Riyadh 2-0 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.78/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.30
+13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
22.2 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Raed
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.95 xG 0.88
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
468 Passes 294
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
18.03.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
06.10.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
27.05.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
25.11.2021 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
06.02.2021 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 4-1 HT 3-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
2-0
AWAY Al Raed
0.95 xG 0.04
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
438 Passes 286
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 2
16 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh got the better of Al Raed 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 59% of the ball to Al Raed's 41%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 0.95 to 0.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 0.83 for Al Raed.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Raed?

Al Shabab Riyadh 2-0 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 45%, draw 24%, Al Raed 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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