Eyüpspor 0-3 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

Eyüpspor
0-3 HT 0-1
Göztepe
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Eyüpspor vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 33% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
20%
4.68
X/2
15%
7.07
X/X
11%
4.58
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.1
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eyüpspor v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.15/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.12
-14% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.7 Crosses 10.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Eyüpspor vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Göztepe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 1.73
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
383 Passes 222
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 5-1 HT 2-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
16.04.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 1-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
20.11.2022 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L

Eyüpspor 0-3 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
0-3
AWAY Göztepe
0.36 xG 2.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 6
336 Passes 309
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe cruised past Eyüpspor 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Eyüpspor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 52% of the ball to Göztepe's 48%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.36 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Göztepe led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Eyüpspor and 2.00 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Göztepe?

Eyüpspor 0-3 Göztepe in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 43%, draw 25%, Göztepe 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Eyüpspor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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