KMC 0-0 Kagera Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.41
Over 2.5
50%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.7pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
67%
-17.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
33%
+17.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KMC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagera Sugar EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.57/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.78
+60% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / +34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KMC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kagera Sugar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.10.2021 KMC KMC 0-1 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KMC
0-0
AWAY Kagera Sugar
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KMC vs Kagera Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KMC and Kagera Sugar fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, KMC had 57% of the ball to Kagera Sugar's 43%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of KMC vs Kagera Sugar?

KMC 0-0 Kagera Sugar in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KMC vs Kagera Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a KMC win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split KMC 33%, draw 33%, Kagera Sugar 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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