Cong An Nhan Dan 2-3 Nam Dinh FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nam Dinh FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.41/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.25
+73% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Nam Dinh FC
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
02.08.2023 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
07.07.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 1-1 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC VİETK
16.04.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 4-0 HT 1-0 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan
2-3
AWAY Nam Dinh FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cong An Nhan Dan vs Nam Dinh FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nam Dinh FC squeezed past Cong An Nhan Dan 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cong An Nhan Dan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cong An Nhan Dan had 52% of the ball to Nam Dinh FC's 48%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cong An Nhan Dan had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Cong An Nhan Dan and 1.00 for Nam Dinh FC.

What was the final score of Cong An Nhan Dan vs Nam Dinh FC?

Cong An Nhan Dan 2-3 Nam Dinh FC in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cong An Nhan Dan vs Nam Dinh FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cong An Nhan Dan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cong An Nhan Dan 44%, draw 29%, Nam Dinh FC 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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