Örgryte 4-2 Falkenbergs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 4 May 2025

Örgryte
4-2 HT 0-2
Falkenbergs FF
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Örgryte vs Falkenbergs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.32
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
14%
5.2
X/2
9%
6.3
X/X
13%
4.71
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.45
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örgryte v Falkenbergs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkenbergs FF EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -4%
1.50/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.39
+3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Örgryte vs Falkenbergs FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Falkenbergs FF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.10.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-1 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
08.05.2021 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 3-2 HT 2-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
07.08.2018 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
03.06.2018 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
17.09.2017 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-1 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
17.05.2017 Örgryte Örgryte 2-1 HT 1-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2

Örgryte 4-2 Falkenbergs FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
4-2
AWAY Falkenbergs FF
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Falkenbergs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte got the better of Falkenbergs FF 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Örgryte as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Örgryte had 60% of the ball to Falkenbergs FF's 40%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Örgryte and 1.33 for Falkenbergs FF.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Falkenbergs FF?

Örgryte 4-2 Falkenbergs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Falkenbergs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 42%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örgryte) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Örgryte) ✗ Under 2.5
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