Onsala 3-2 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.8pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.0pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Onsala EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.62/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/2.26
+15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Onsala
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Varbergs GIF
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.10.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 2-1 HT 1-0 Onsala Onsala İSÇ4
22.06.2023 Onsala Onsala 2-3 HT 2-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
30.09.2022 Onsala Onsala 4-4 HT 3-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
15.08.2021 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 1-7 HT 1-1 Onsala Onsala İSÇ4
02.06.2021 Onsala Onsala 2-1 HT 1-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
25.09.2020 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 3-1 HT 1-0 Onsala Onsala İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Onsala
3-2
AWAY Varbergs GIF
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 4
13 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Onsala vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Onsala nicked a narrow win over Varbergs GIF 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Onsala as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Onsala had 57% of the ball to Varbergs GIF's 43%, shots finished 24-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varbergs GIF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Onsala and 2.33 for Varbergs GIF.

What was the final score of Onsala vs Varbergs GIF?

Onsala 3-2 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Onsala vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Onsala win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Onsala 52%, draw 27%, Varbergs GIF 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Onsala), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Onsala) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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