Tunus U20 3-1 Kenya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika U20 Uluslar Cup, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tunus U20 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kenya U20 EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
219 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tunus U20
3-1
AWAY Kenya U20
2.49 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
229 Passes 262
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tunus U20 vs Kenya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tunus U20 saw off Kenya U20 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Tunus U20 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tunus U20 had 47% of the ball to Kenya U20's 53%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.49 to 0.95.

What was the final score of Tunus U20 vs Kenya U20?

Tunus U20 3-1 Kenya U20 in the Afrika U20 Uluslar Cup on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tunus U20 vs Kenya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kenya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tunus U20 32%, draw 30%, Kenya U20 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kenya U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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