Parceiro Nagano (K) 0-3 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.02/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.37
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
0W-2D-0L
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
01.12.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
28.04.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
0-3
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Elfen Saitama (K) swept aside Parceiro Nagano (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; AS Elfen Saitama (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 45% of the ball to AS Elfen Saitama (K)'s 55%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Parceiro Nagano (K) and 1.00 for AS Elfen Saitama (K).

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 0-3 AS Elfen Saitama (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AS Elfen Saitama (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 35%, draw 26%, AS Elfen Saitama (K) 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Elfen Saitama (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Elfen Saitama (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JWEL More Japan - WE League Women's
4 May 2025
08:00 Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K) Analysis →
08:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Nojima Stella (K) Analysis →
08:00 Urawa Red (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K) Analysis →
09:00 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) Analysis →