Urawa Red (K) 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 4 May 2025

Urawa Red (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
Albirex Niigata (K)
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2024/2025

Urawa Red (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Urawa Red (K) win — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.9pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Urawa Red (K) v Albirex Niigata (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.00/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/2.21
+12% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
384 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Urawa Red (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) JWEL
27.03.2024 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL

Urawa Red (K) 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red (K)
0-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) edged past Urawa Red (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Urawa Red (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Urawa Red (K) had 68% of the ball to Albirex Niigata (K)'s 32%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Urawa Red (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Urawa Red (K) and 0.00 for Albirex Niigata (K).

What was the final score of Urawa Red (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Urawa Red (K) 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red (K) 54%, draw 25%, Albirex Niigata (K) 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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