Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

Kauno Zalgiris
3-1 HT 1-0
FK Riteriai
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2025

Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Riteriai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kauno Zalgiris v FK Riteriai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 19%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.53/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.34
-71% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Riteriai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Riteriai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
05.11.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-3 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
13.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-2 HT 2-2 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
06.06.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
15.04.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 2-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
08.11.2022 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 2-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1

Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 FK Riteriai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3-1
AWAY FK Riteriai
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris beat FK Riteriai 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 64% of the ball to FK Riteriai's 36%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.17 for FK Riteriai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Riteriai?

Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 48%, draw 25%, FK Riteriai 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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