Stabaek 1-0 Skeid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
11%
5.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Skeid EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
1.62/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.84
-24% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
473 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Skeid
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.07.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 2-0 HT 1-0 Skeid Skeid NOR1
04.04.2022 Skeid Skeid 2-3 HT 1-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
19.10.2005 Skeid Skeid 1-0 HT 1-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
20.06.2005 Stabaek Stabaek 4-0 HT 1-0 Skeid Skeid NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
1-0
AWAY Skeid
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Skeid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek squeezed past Skeid 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stabaek as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stabaek had 57% of the ball to Skeid's 43%, shots finished 21-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stabaek had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Stabaek and 0.75 for Skeid.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Skeid?

Stabaek 1-0 Skeid in the Norway - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Skeid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 55%, draw 25%, Skeid 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stabaek), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stabaek) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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