Texoma vs Charlotte Independence Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Texoma v Charlotte Independence — Team-Based Signals
Texoma 3-4 Charlotte Independence — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte Independence nicked a narrow win over Texoma 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charlotte Independence as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Texoma had 44% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 56%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.05 to 3.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Charlotte Independence's control.
What was the final score of Texoma vs Charlotte Independence?
Texoma 3-4 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Texoma vs Charlotte Independence?
Before kick-off our model rated an Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Texoma 25%, draw 27%, Charlotte Independence 48%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.