Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 4 May 2026

Gimnasia Mendoza
2-1 HT 1-1
Defensa y Justicia
📅04/05/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2026

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.31
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.69
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
12%
5.04
X/2
12%
5.89
X/X
12%
3.52
2/1
11%
34.0
2/2
14%
4.69
2/X
5%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gimnasia Mendoza v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
– Crosses 17.5
– Yellow Cards 2.1

Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
2-1
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.98 xG 0.72
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
190 Passes 306
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Gimnasia Mendoza edged past Defensa y Justicia 2-1 in the Argentina - Premier League on 4 May 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gimnasia Mendoza had 40% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 60%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.98 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia?

Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 40%, draw 27%, Defensa y Justicia 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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